Discover how negative convexity affects bond prices, key risks, and how to calculate it. Learn why mortgage and callable ...

The 10-year yield is often used as a stand-in for mortgage rates and also shows how investors feel about the economy’s future ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

A version of this article was published in the November 2015 issue of Morningstar ETFInvestor. Download a complimentary copy of ETFInvestor here. Flaw of Averages Duration, by itself, is a crude ...

A steepening yield curve is usually associated with a stock market peak. Historically speaking, the stock market usually peaks around 15 months after the yield curve reaches a cyclical minimum. With ...

Later in this article, I will display a chart revealing a consistent pattern of when a recession is most likely to begin. From a trader's viewpoint, pattern recognition is essential for successful ...

Investors who own bonds or a bond fund watch to see if Treasury yields and interest rates will rise and to what extent. If rates are increasing, they may avoid bonds with longer-term maturities, ...

NEW YORK (AP) — One of the more reliable warning signals for an economic recession started blinking again. The “yield curve” is watched for clues on how the bond market feels about the long-term ...

A version of this article was originally published on Oct. 8, 2014. The term "interest rate" continues to strike fear into the hearts of bond investors. These fears have only intensified as the timing ...