Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I show you how to save and invest. Yield curve inversion has historically predicted U.S. recessions with greater accuracy than ...

An inverted yield curve is a good, if imperfect, recession indicator. The economy has been resilient to the latest inversion.

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

Inverted yield curves happen when bonds with shorter maturity periods have higher yields than bonds with longer maturity periods. Under normal circumstances, it’s the other way around. Since ...

The yield curve between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes has inverted again to start Friday’s session, a closely watched indicator that has historically been associated with eventual recessions.

An inverted yield curve — when longer-term interest rates like the 10-year yield are lower than short-term interest rates like the 2-year yield — has historically been one of the most reliable ...

You know that once-mythical soft landing thing that Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee referenced in his recent interview with Marketplace? It’s the thing where inflation is tamed but ...

An inverted yield curve, historically a precursor to economic downturns, suggests short-term borrowing costs for banks could soon outpace returns from long-term loans, squeezing profit margins, writes ...

Stocks made new record highs, with the S&P 500 setting an intraday high of 5,261.10 and a closing high of 5,241.53 on Thursday. For the week, the S&P increased 2.3% to close at 5,234.18. The index is ...

Stocks could perform well despite an inverted yield curve, Leuthold's Jim Paulsen said. Paulsen noted that previous inversions saw a gain in the S&P 500 over the following years five out of nine times ...