Asteroid 2024 YR4 no longer poses significant threat to Earth in 2032, NASA's latest analysis determines
The 2024 YR4 asteroid, which is nearly the size of a football field, now has roughly a 0.004% chance of hitting Earth in about eight years, according to the space agency's latest calculations. The Center for Near-Earth Object Studies previously projected a 3% chance of the asteroid striking our planet before lowering the chance to 0.28% last week.
Asteroid 2024 YR4 is going to miss Earth, but the story doesn’t end there
In reality, even as the near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4 was moving away, ground-based telescopes were able to gather enough observations to get a better handle on its orbit. So we can safely take a deep breath and return to the more pressing existential problems posed by threats on this planet rather than off-world.
Blue Ghost, Earth and lunar orbit
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