A near-Earth asteroid as wide as the Statue of Liberty is tall could strike Earth on Dec.22, 2032, alerting planetary defense groups at the United Nations.

A dive into probabilities, asteroid impact modeling, and what sort of damage an approximately 180-foot asteroid could cause on Earth.

NASA’s Centre for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) has calculated a 2.3% chance—roughly a 1-in-43 probability—that asteroid 2024 YR4 could impact Earth in 2032. While the number may sound alarming, astronomers emphasise that further observations will likely refine the asteroid’s trajectory and reduce any potential risk.